CMHC has some concerns with the Winnipeg Housing Market

After returning from our annual Mortgage conference and hearing positive reports from the big banks, mono-line lenders and other leaders in the our industry the outlook for next year appeared to be looking good.  After reading CMHC’s fourth quarter housing outlook it may be that Winnipeg will have a few bumps in the road to deal with.

Here are CMHC’s comments from their latest housing report for Winnipeg:

“Winnipeg: Moderate degree of vulnerability A moderate degree of overbuilding was detected as the inventory of completed and unsold units increased to elevated levels in the second quarter of 2018. Overvaluation continued to be assessed as moderate. While real disposable income decreased, there was an increase in the population aged 25 to 34 years and growth is easing for some house price measures. According to the HMA decision rule, a high degree of overall vulnerability should be indicated when both overvaluation and overbuilding factors exhibit evidence of imbalances. However, Winnipeg’s overall assessment was adjusted to moderate in this quarter as evidence of overvaluation and overbuilding observed is marginal.”

Looking at the full report closer it is CMHC’s opinion that the local market is moderately overvalued and has a high inventory of new homes.  It’s not as doom and gloom as other markets in Canada but there appears to be some concerns.  With all the changes made to lending guidelines it wouldn’t be shocking to see local prices level out and stay flat for the next few years.  That said, the real estate market in Winnipeg has been historically stable and is still affordable for most so slight increases for certain price ranges may also be expected.

As 2018 winds down we enter our slow season so the next few months won’t be telling, but it will be something to watch in Spring 2019 to see what this means for real estate prices moving forward.

New Down Payment Rules Effective February, 2016

If you want to buy a home in 2016 you’re going to need to know about the new minimum down payment requirements announced in December of 2015.

Effective February 15, 2016, the minimum down payment for new insured mortgages will increase from five per cent to 10 per cent for the amount of the purchase price above $500,000. For the first $500,000 of the purchase price the minimum down payment remains at 5%.

In other words, if you’re purchasing a home for $1 million the first $500,000 requires 5% for the down payment and the second $500,000 requires 10% for the down payment. The total down payment would increase from $50,000 minimum to $75,000 minimum.

Read more about the down payment requirements in New Down Payment Rules: Time to Exhale at